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ok more math
Posted: 06-29-2010 01:18 PM |
say we have the nutflush draw on the turn and villain bets We suspect he has a set 50 percent of the time and something else the other 50 percent. but lets assume our flush if we hit will always win on a non paired board and win 50% of the time on a paired board.
P=1
b+1
s=1
we wil river our flush 17 percent of the time but the board will pair 21percent of the time
.17x.20 =.034 but he only hits a boat 50 percent of the time=.017 so our flush when it hits will win 15.3 percent of the time does the following equation work?
.17*(1+1+1)-.83*1-.017*(1+1+1) |
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Re: ok more math
Posted: 06-29-2010 01:43 PM |
| sorry forgot to solve =-0.371 |
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